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Expanded discussion of statistics

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Brian E Carpenter
2023-07-30 09:17:15 +12:00
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parent 4903b673c1
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@ -6,7 +6,7 @@ get an immediate understanding of the real adoption of IPv6. A recent
overview is presented in overview is presented in
[RFC9386](https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc9386). [RFC9386](https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc9386).
The count of the IPv6 users is monitored by several organizations. For A count of IPv6 users is monitored by various organizations. For
example, both example, both
[Facebook](https://www.facebook.com/ipv6/?tab=ipv6_total_adoption) and [Facebook](https://www.facebook.com/ipv6/?tab=ipv6_total_adoption) and
[Google](https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html) provide [Google](https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html) provide
@ -19,14 +19,22 @@ platform.
[APNIC](https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6) quantifies the use of IPv6 by [APNIC](https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6) quantifies the use of IPv6 by
means of a script that runs on Internet browsers. means of a script that runs on Internet browsers.
We have selected this latter statistic, as it comes from a Regional At the time of writing, there are large discrepancies between data from these and
other sources. In fact there is no well-defined metric for "how many IPv6 users
exist" or "how much IPv6 traffic exists". To take one example, the Google data
estimate the fraction of Google "hits" that use IPv6, yet Google is very little
used in China so these data cannot represent the true world-wide situation.
Estimates posted to the IETF by Geoff Huston in July 2023 suggest that Google
observes a 7% adoption rate in China, while the APNIC measurement reports 30%.
We show here the APNIC presentation of results, as it comes from a Regional
Internet Registry (RIR) to show the number of the Internet IPv6 users Internet Registry (RIR) to show the number of the Internet IPv6 users
compared with the total Internet population (in million, see next compared with the total Internet population (in million, see next
table). table).
<img src="./Section5_Table1.jpg" alt="Table shows 25% annual IPv6 growth 2018 to 2022"> <img src="./Section5_Table1.jpg" alt="Table shows 25% annual IPv6 growth 2018 to 2022">
A third of the Internet population actually employs IPv6. It is also A third of the Internet population apparently employs IPv6. It is also
interesting to look at the growth curve. The main indicator here is the interesting to look at the growth curve. The main indicator here is the
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), which shows a two-digit growth Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), which shows a two-digit growth
across the 5-year period 2018-2022. across the 5-year period 2018-2022.